Kickermania - thru week 8 and looking ahead to week 9
by Mike Herman, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
    2006 Kicking points
(top five are highlighted)
2006 Kicking ppg 2006
Kdef
Week 9 matchup
Team Current
KICKER
standard
total  rnk
attemptd
total  rnk
bonus
total  rnk
avg rnk home rnk away rnk ppg allw rnk hom
factr
away
factr
oppnt Kdef
factr
score
avg
math
calc
I
math
calc
II
this
week
rank
 Ari Neil Rackers 50 10 68 5 55 9 6.3 18 7.8 7 4.8 27 9.3 30 1.50 1.43 bye          
notes Misses: 51SH, 53WL, 51WR, 52WL, 40WL, 49WL
 Atl Morten Andersen 57 5 81 2 62 5 7.1 10 8.8 4 7.3 11 7.1 20 1.08 1.26 @Det 0.95 7.3 7.0 7.1 6
notes Misses: Koenen 50WR, 50B, 30WR, 36WL, 30B, 40WL; Andersen 25B, 52SH
Only Chicago has attempted more kicking points than Atlanta.
 Bal Matt Stover 45 18 45 26 49 19 6.4 16 6.3 20 6.5 15 5.0 6 1.06 0.45 Cin 0.53 6.3 3.4 5.7 23
notes Misses: none
The Bengals have given up 4.8 kicking ppg in their road games.
 Buf Rian Lindell 40 23 43 27 48 20 5.7 23 6.3 20 5.3 26 6.1 11 0.90 1.14 GB 1.04 6.3 6.6 5.9 17
notes Misses: 44WR
Lindell scored 2 points at home last year after their bye week.
 Car John Kasay 53 7 59 7 62 5 6.6 15 4.8 26 8.5 6 7.1 19 1.17 0.95 bye          
notes Misses: 53WL, 65SH
 Chi Robbie Gould 83 1 83 1 92 1 11.9 1 12.5 1 11.0 2 4.7 4 0.48 1.38 Mia 1.19 12.5 14.9 8.3 2
notes Misses: none
Gould needs to average 9.1 ppg the remainder of the season to break the single season scoring record held by Gary Anderson.
 Cin Shayne Graham 53 7 59 7 59 8 7.6 6 7.8 7 7.3 11 5.7 9 0.97 0.53 @Bal 1.06 7.3 7.8 6.6 18
notes Misses: 44WR, 62SH
Graham scored 3 points at Baltimore last year.
 Cle Phil Dawson 36 28 42 28 39 28 5.1 27 3.3 32 7.7 10 7.9 26 1.41 1.29 @SD 0.71 7.7 5.4 6.5 26
notes Misses: 48WR, 26WL
The Chargers have held their last three opponents' kickers below their usual average.
 Dal Mike Vanderjagt 50 10 59 7 53 15 7.1 8 7.0 14 7.3 13 6.0 10 1.13 0.94 @Was 1.91 7.3 13.9 6.6 12
notes Misses: Suisham 36RU; Vanderjagt 26RU, 48RU
All the Cowboys' missed FGs have been on the road, and all hit the right upright.
 Den Jason Elam 44 19 50 23 50 18 6.3 17 7.5 9 4.7 28 6.6 14 0.76 0.31 @Pit 0.55 4.7 2.5 6.4 20
notes Misses: 44WR, 43WR
Elam needs to average 6.2 ppg for the remainder of the year in order to score 100 points… something he has done very year of his NFL career.
 Det Jason Hanson 42 21 51 22 47 21 6.0 21 6.7 19 5.5 22 8.7 28 0.95 1.14 Atl 1.26 6.7 8.4 7.4 9
notes Misses: 52SH, 40WR, 56SH
On the road, Atlanta has allowed 8.7 kicking ppg.
 GB Dave Rayner 50 10 59 7 55 9 7.1 8 6.0 22 8.7 5 8.6 27 1.19 1.04 @Buf 0.90 8.7 7.8 7.9 16
notes Misses: 53WL, 54WL, 45WL
After the week one shutout, Rayner has scored at least 7 points in every game since.
 Hou Kris Brown 35 30 39 29 38 30 5.0 29 4.8 26 5.3 25 7.1 20 1.30 1.43 @NYG 1.00 5.3 5.3 6.1 25
notes Misses: 38WR, extra point blocked
Brown scored one point in his last trip to the Meadowlands.
 Ind Adam Vinatieri 65 4 66 6 70 4 9.3 4 7.5 9 11.7 1 4.4 2 0.81 0.67 @NE 0.95 11.7 11.1 6.9 8
notes Misses: none
We all know the story on this one.
 Jac Josh Scobee 48 15 57 17 55 9 6.9 12 8.7 5 5.5 22 5.0 6 0.00 1.19 Ten 0.75 8.7 6.5 5.9 14
notes Misses: 49WL, 24LU, 49WL
The home team kicker scored only 2 points in each of the Titans' last two road games.
 KC Lawrence Tynes 48 15 58 13 54 13 6.9 12 7.5 9 6.0 17 7.1 20 0.74 1.20 @StL 1.55 6.0 9.3 7.0 4
notes Misses: 51WR, 42WL, 50WR, extra point RU
The last two visiting kickers in St. Louis both scored in double digits.
 Mia Olindo Mare 40 23 58 13 46 22 5.7 23 5.7 24 5.8 18 7.0 16 1.15 1.19 @Chi 0.48 5.8 2.8 6.4 27
notes Misses: 55WR, 30WR, 40B, 50WR, 51SH, 52LU
Visiting kickers n Chicago have score 1, 6, 1, and 4 points.
 Min Ryan Longwell 49 14 59 7 52 17 7.0 11 7.3 12 6.7 14 7.7 25 1.01 1.25 @SF 1.34 6.7 9.0 7.4 7
notes Misses: 54SH, 51B, 46WR, extra point B
San Francisco is giving up 8.75 ppg to visiting kickers.
 NE Stephen Gostkowski 39 27 48 25 39 28 5.6 26 4.7 30 6.3 16 4.7 4 0.95 0.87 Ind 0.67 4.7 3.1 5.1 15
notes Misses: 29B, 37B, 48WR
The other kicker.
 NO John Carney 55 6 58 13 60 7 7.9 5 7.0 14 9.0 4 4.4 2 0.88 0.63 @TB 1.17 9.0 10.5 6.1 10
notes Misses: 43WR
After scoring in double digits his first three games, Carney had averaged 5.25 ppg since then.
 NYG Jay Feely 52 9 58 13 54 13 7.4 7 7.0 14 7.8 8 5.1 8 1.00 0.59 Hou 1.43 7.0 10.0 6.3 3
notes Misses: 40WL, 47WL
On the road, the Texans have allowed every opposing kicker to score above their average.
 NYJ Mike Nugent 40 23 50 23 42 25 5.0 29 6.0 22 4.0 30 6.4 12 0.91 1.27 bye          
notes Misses: 34WR, 30RU, 52WR, one extra point WR
 Oak Sebastian Janikowski 36 28 39 29 40 27 5.1 27 4.8 26 5.7 21 8.9 29 1.12 1.38 @Sea 0.84 5.7 4.8 7.0 21
notes Misses: 54WR
Janikowski has scored 8 points in three of his last four games.
 Phi David Akers 50 10 56 18 53 15 6.3 18 6.8 18 5.8 18 7.3 23 0.93 1.06 bye          
notes Misses: 49RU, 39WL
 Pit Jeff Reed 43 20 52 20 44 24 6.1 20 7.0 14 5.5 22 7.0 16 0.55 1.15 Den 0.31 7.0 2.2 6.6 24
notes Misses: 44WL, 48B, 28WR
AFC North kickers are averaging 2.0 ppg against the Broncos.
 SD Nate Kaeding 72 2 78 4 77 3 10.3 2 11.7 3 9.3 3 3.9 1 0.71 0.50 Cle 1.29 11.7 15.1 7.1 1
notes Misses: 40WR, 47RU
Kaeding has a scored at least 8 points in every home game.
 Sea Josh Brown 47 17 59 7 55 9 6.7 14 5.3 25 7.8 8 7.0 16 0.84 0.97 Oak 1.38 5.3 7.4 6.9 11
notes Misses: 41B, 53B, 30B, 34LU
Brown had 3 FG attempts blocked in the first two games, but none since.
 SF Joe Nedney 42 21 54 19 45 23 6.0 21 7.3 12 4.3 29 9.6 32 1.34 1.29 Min 1.25 7.3 9.1 7.8 13
notes Misses: 34WR, 46WL, 51WL, 49WR
A week after signing Shaun Suisham to the practice squad,, he was released.
 StL Jeff Wilkins 71 3 80 3 80 2 10.1 3 12.3 2 8.5 6 7.4 24 1.55 0.89 KC 1.20 12.3 14.8 8.8 5
notes Misses: 44RU, 46WR, 47WR
After averaging 4.2 FG attempts per game the first five weeks, Wilkins has averaged 0.5 the last two games.
 TB Matt Bryant 28 32 37 31 32 32 4.0 32 4.8 26 3.0 32 6.6 14 1.17 0.71 NO 0.63 4.8 3.0 5.3 22
notes Misses: 45WR, 43WR, 43WR
Bryant averaged 6.5 ppg against the Saints last year.
 Ten Rob Bironas 33 31 36 32 34 31 4.7 31 3.3 31 5.8 18 6.4 13 1.24 0.75 @Jac 0.00 5.8 0.0 5.6 28
notes Misses: 51WR
The last two teams to visit Jacksonville were both shutout.
 Was Nick Novak 40 23 52 20 42 25 5.7 23 8.0 6 4.0 30 9.3 31 1.91 1.44 Dal 0.94 8.0 7.5 7.5 19
notes Misses: Hall 48WL, 42WL; Novak 49LU, 35WL
The Redskins' kicker scoring their last three games: 3, 2, and 2 points.
NOTES:
1. All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
 (except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2. "Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3. The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring 
 (i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4. Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Calculation I" is the home or away "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
 Mathematical Calculation II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5. FAQ: why do the weekly rankings not correlate to either of the Math Calculations?
Answer: the weekly and overall rankings are not based on the Math II calculations, which are provided for anyone who prefers that methodology or information. The rankings are more closely based on a Math I calculations which factor in the kicker's applicable home and away scoring averages, and the opposing defenses home and away kdef factors. Early in the year, the kdef factors use last year's numbers, since there is not enough games played for useful current year numbers. Individual rankings are also adjusted for things like offensive injuries that could impact scoring, and for anomalies (such as kicker scoring an incredibly high number of points in a game, which skews his average, especially early in the year).
6. Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped
Mike Herman's Kicker Rankings for This Week *** Remaining Schedule (thru week 16) Rankings ***
Rank Player Opponent Rank Player
1 Nate Kaeding Cle 1 Adam Vinatieri
2 Robbie Gould Mia 2 Morten Andersen
3 Jay Feely Hou 3 Robbie Gould
4 Lawrence Tynes @StL 4 Jeff Wilkins
5 Jeff Wilkins KC 5 Nate Kaeding
6 Morten Andersen @Det 6 Jason Hanson
7 Ryan Longwell @SF 7 Dave Rayner
8 Adam Vinatieri @NE 8 John Kasay
9 Jason Hanson Atl 9 Stephen Gostkowski
10 John Carney @TB 10 Mike Nugent
11 Josh Brown Oak 11 Josh Scobee
12 Mike Vanderjagt @Was 12 Josh Brown
13 Joe Nedney Min 13 Jay Feely
14 Josh Scobee Ten 14 David Akers
15 Stephen Gostkowski Ind 15 Ryan Longwell
16 Dave Rayner @Buf 16 Joe Nedney
17 Rian Lindell GB 17 Lawrence Tynes
18 Shayne Graham @Bal 18 Shayne Graham
19 Nick Novak Dal 19 John Carney
20 Jason Elam @Pit 20 Mike Vanderjagt
21 Sebastian Janikowski @Sea 21 Neil Rackers
22 Matt Bryant NO 22 Nick Novak
23 Matt Stover Cin 23 Jeff Reed
24 Jeff Reed Den 24 Olindo Mare
25 Kris Brown @NYG 25 Matt Stover
26 Phil Dawson @SD 26 Rian Lindell
27 Olindo Mare @Chi 27 Jason Elam
28 Rob Bironas @Jac 28 Matt Bryant
29 Phil Dawson
30 Sebastian Janikowski
31 Rob Bironas
32 Kris Brown
*** Note: These rankings differ from the official Footballguys.com rankings