Kickermania - thru week 12 and looking ahead to week 13
by Mike Herman, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
		2006 Kicking points (top five are highlighted)						2006 Kicking ppg						2006 Kdef				Week 13 matchup
Team	Current KICKER	standard total  rnk		attemptd total  rnk		bonus total  rnk		avg	rnk	home	rnk	away	rnk	ppg allw	rnk	hom factr	away factr	oppnt	Kdef factr	score avg	math calc I	math calc II	this week rank
Ari	Neil Rackers	67	24	88	13	74	21	6.1	24	6.7	19	5.4	22	8.5	31	1.28	1.46	@StL	1.21	5.4	6.5	7.3	20
notes	Misses: 51SH, 53WL, 51WR, 52WL, 40WL, 49WL, 41WL Rackers had his lowest output of the year (2 points) against the Rams in week 3.
Atl	Morten Andersen	77	10	104	2	84	11	6.4	17	8.2	6	5.6	20	7.3	23	0.88	1.13	@Was	1.63	5.6	9.1	6.8	19
notes	Misses: Koenen 50WR, 50B, 30WR, 36WL, 30B, 40WL; Andersen 25B, 52SH, 43WL The current all-time score: Gary Anderson 2434, Morten Andersen 2422
Bal	Matt Stover	83	7	86	15	90	7	7.5	7	8.0	7	7.0	11	4.8	1	0.99	0.57	@Cin	0.86	7.0	6.0	6.2	1
notes	Misses: 42WL Stover scored 14 points against the Bengals several weeks ago.
Buf	Rian Lindell	71	16	77	25	82	14	6.5	15	6.8	18	6.2	17	5.5	8	0.95	0.80	SD	0.70	6.8	4.8	6.0	21
notes	Misses: 44WR, 41WR The Chargers gave up 11 and 9 points in their last two road games.
Car	John Kasay	73	14	79	23	86	9	6.6	13	5.3	26	8.2	4	6.0	11	1.19	0.68	@Phi	1.05	8.2	8.6	6.3	5
notes	Misses: 53WL, 65SH The Panthers played at Philadelphia two years ago. Kasay had zero points in that game.
Chi	Robbie Gould	109	1	112	1	120	1	9.9	1	11.4	1	8.7	3	4.8	1	0.65	1.10	Min	1.00	11.4	11.4	7.4	4
notes	Misses: 45B Gould is on pace to score 159 points (needs to average 11.2 ppg from here onwards to break Gary Anderson's record).
Cin	Shayne Graham	85	5	95	8	94	6	7.7	5	8.4	5	7.2	10	5.9	10	0.86	0.56	Bal	0.57	8.4	4.8	6.8	8
notes	Misses: 44WR, 62SH, 51WL, extra point B Graham has averaged 7.0 ppg in his last three games against the Ravens.
Cle	Phil Dawson	68	23	80	21	73	23	6.2	23	3.5	32	9.4	1	7.3	23	1.29	0.86	KC	1.17	3.5	4.1	6.7	27
notes	Misses: 48WR, 26WL, 44SH, 48WL After three missed FGs in recent weeks, Dawson's career FG percentage has dipped to 83.5%. He trails second place Shayne Graham ( 84.4%) on the all-time list.
Dal	Martin Gramatica	77	10	95	8	80	15	7.0	10	6.4	21	7.5	8	5.5	7	1.18	0.86	@NYG	0.88	7.5	6.6	6.2	7
notes	Misses: Suisham 36RU; Vanderjagt 26RU, 48RU, 35B, 43RU, 46WR.  "I know why he had some problems kicking and I know why he was out of football in 2005... I have good information from the people that had him this summer; they were very positive about it. I looked at everything." - Bill Parcells
Den	Jason Elam	69	18	75	26	76	18	6.3	18	7.8	9	5.0	26	7.2	22	0.69	1.21	Sea	1.04	7.8	8.1	6.7	11
notes	Misses: 44WR, 43WR Jake Plummer will continue to hold for Elam on point-after attempts and field-goals.
Det	Jason Hanson	69	18	81	19	76	18	6.3	18	7.2	15	5.2	23	8.2	29	1.13	1.11	@NE	0.89	5.2	4.7	7.2	31
notes	Misses: 52SH, 40WR, 56SH, 52WR Hanson in the week after Thanksgiving the last five years, starting with 2005: 10, 14, 1, 8, and 4 points
GB	Dave Rayner	71	16	86	15	77	17	6.5	15	4.8	29	7.8	7	8.2	29	1.25	0.93	NYJ	1.16	4.8	5.6	7.3	23
notes	Misses: 53WL, 54WL, 45WL, 44WR, 28B Rayner has been shutout twice at home, and averaged 8.0 ppg in the other three games.
Hou	Kris Brown	52	30	68	29	57	30	4.7	30	4.4	30	5.0	26	6.9	18	1.15	1.24	@Oak	1.10	5.0	5.5	5.8	26
notes	Misses: 38WR, 42WL, 32WL, 52RU, 59SH, extra point blocked The Raiders have allowed only 4.3 kicking ppg the last three weeks.
Ind	Adam Vinatieri	90	4	97	5	96	4	8.2	4	7.3	14	9.2	2	5.0	4	0.89	0.63	@Ten	1.19	9.2	11.0	6.6	6
notes	Misses: 37WR, 46WR The Colts scored only 2 kicking points against the Titans earlier in the year.
Jac	Josh Scobee	85	5	97	5	95	5	7.7	5	9.5	3	5.6	20	5.1	6	0.41	1.32	@Mia	1.28	5.6	7.1	6.4	14
notes	Misses: 49WL, 24LU, 49WL, 42WR Three of Scobee's four missed FGs were on the road.
KC	Lawrence Tynes	77	10	93	11	84	11	7.0	10	8.0	7	5.8	19	6.6	16	0.95	1.17	@Cle	1.29	5.8	7.5	6.8	9
notes	Misses: 51WR, 42WL, 50WR, 48WL, 35WL, extra point RU Last week was the Brown's only home game where they held the opposing kicker below his average.
Mia	Olindo Mare	69	18	96	7	78	16	6.3	18	6.0	24	6.5	13	6.5	14	1.28	0.88	Jac	1.32	6.0	7.9	6.4	10
notes	Misses: 55WR, 30WR, 40B, 50WR, 51SH, 52LU, 37B, 50WL, 44WL On the road, the Jaguars allow 7.8 kicking ppg.
Min	Ryan Longwell	72	15	82	17	76	18	6.5	14	6.8	17	6.2	15	8.0	28	1.29	1.00	@Chi	0.65	6.2	4.0	7.3	30
notes	Misses: 54SH, 51B, 46WR, extra point B The Bears have allowed only 3.8 kicking ppg at home.
NE	Stephen Gostkowski	63	26	75	26	66	26	5.7	26	5.5	25	6.0	18	4.9	3	0.89	0.79	Det	1.11	5.5	6.1	5.3	13
notes	Misses: 29B, 37B, 48WR, 36WR The most Gostkowski has scored in any game this year is 8 points.
NO	John Carney	80	8	87	14	86	9	7.3	8	6.5	20	8.0	6	5.0	4	0.87	0.71	SF	0.98	6.5	6.3	6.1	3
notes	Misses: 43WR, 32WL, extra point B Opposing kickers have scored anywhere from 7 to 11 points when the 49ers come to town.
NYG	Jay Feely	69	18	81	19	74	21	6.3	18	6.2	23	6.3	14	6.2	12	0.88	0.81	Dal	0.86	6.2	5.3	6.2	25
notes	Misses: 40WL, 47WL, 33WR, 52SH Feely's lowest scoring game last year was at home against Dallas.
NYJ	Mike Nugent	59	28	69	28	64	28	5.4	28	6.3	22	4.2	30	5.8	9	0.77	1.16	@GB	1.25	4.2	5.3	5.6	18
notes	Misses: 34WR, 30RU, 52WR, one extra point WR Last year in weeks 11 thru 13, Nugent scored 0, 13, and 3 points. This year: 0, 14, and ?? points
Oak	Sebastian Janikowski	52	30	61	31	59	29	4.7	30	5.2	27	4.3	29	7.7	26	1.10	1.10	Hou	1.24	5.2	6.4	6.2	17
notes	Misses: 54WR, 51WR, 36WL This week appears to be Janikowski's best remaining matchup of the year.
Phi	David Akers	69	18	78	24	73	23	6.3	18	7.2	15	5.2	23	7.0	19	1.05	1.23	Car	0.68	7.2	4.8	6.6	28
notes	Misses: 49RU, 39WL, 36WL The Panthers have allowed 4.3 kicking ppg in their last three road games.
Pit	Jeff Reed	65	25	80	21	68	25	5.9	25	7.4	12	4.7	28	7.3	23	0.77	1.30	TB	0.92	7.4	6.8	6.6	12
notes	Misses: 44WL, 48B, 28WR, 40WR, 35WL Reed followed up his shut out earlier in the year with 8 points the following week.
SD	Nate Kaeding	93	3	99	4	98	3	8.5	3	8.8	4	8.2	5	6.2	12	0.82	0.70	@Buf	0.95	8.2	7.8	7.3	16
notes	Misses: 40WR, 47RU Kaeding scored 12 points against the Bills last year.
Sea	Josh Brown	79	9	91	12	89	8	7.2	9	7.7	10	6.6	12	6.6	16	0.86	1.04	@Den	0.69	6.6	4.6	6.9	15
notes	Misses: 41B, 53B, 30B, 34LU Brown did not have a FG attempt in either of his last two road games.
SF	Joe Nedney	77	10	95	8	83	13	7.0	10	7.7	10	6.2	15	7.9	27	1.21	0.98	@NO	0.87	6.2	5.4	7.5	22
notes	Misses: 34WR, 46WL, 51WL, 49WR, 30B, 27WR The Saints held four of the last five opposing kickers below their average.
StL	Jeff Wilkins	94	2	103	3	108	2	8.5	2	10.0	2	7.3	9	7.0	19	1.21	0.98	Ari	1.46	10.0	14.6	7.8	2
notes	Misses: 44RU, 46WR, 47WR Wilkins scored 10 points against the Cardinals earlier in the year.
TB	Matt Bryant	46	32	55	32	51	32	4.2	32	4.8	28	3.4	32	6.5	14	1.11	0.92	@Pit	0.77	3.4	2.6	5.4	32
notes	Misses: 45WR, 43WR, 43WR The Steelers have allowed 4.8 kicking ppg at home. The Bucs are the lowest kicker scoring team on the road.
Ten	Rob Bironas	53	29	65	30	55	31	4.8	29	4.4	30	5.2	25	7.0	19	1.19	1.07	Ind	0.63	4.4	2.8	5.9	29
notes	Misses: 51WR, 41WR, 43B, 48WR The Colts are giving up 5.0 kicking ppg on the road.
Was	Nick Novak	61	27	82	17	66	26	5.5	27	7.4	12	4.0	31	8.7	32	1.63	1.41	Atl	1.13	7.4	8.3	7.1	24
notes	Misses: Hall 48WL, 42WL; Novak 49LU, 35WL, 49WR, 48WR, 37WL The Redskins signed Shaun Suisham to the practice squad.
NOTES:
1.	All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
	(except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2.	"Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3.	The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring
	(i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.	Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Calculation I" is the home or away "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
	Mathematical Calculation II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5.	FAQ: why do the weekly rankings not correlate to either of the Math Calculations?
	Answer: the weekly and overall rankings are not based on the Math II calculations, which are provided for anyone who prefers that methodology or information. The rankings are more closely based on a Math I calculations which factor in the kicker's applicable home and away scoring averages, and the opposing defenses home and away kdef factors. Early in the year, the kdef factors use last year's numbers, since there is not enough games played for useful current year numbers. Individual rankings are also adjusted for things like offensive injuries that could impact scoring, and for anomalies (such as kicker scoring an incredibly high number of points in a game, which skews his average, especially early in the year).
6.	Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped
Mike Herman's Kicker Rankings for This Week ***														Remaining Schedule (thru week 16) Rankings ***
Rank	Player	Opponent												Rank	Player
1	Matt Stover	@Cin												1	Adam Vinatieri
2	Jeff Wilkins	Ari												2	Shayne Graham
3	John Carney	SF												3	Josh Brown
4	Robbie Gould	Min												4	Josh Scobee
5	John Kasay	@Phi												5	Martin Gramatica
6	Adam Vinatieri	@Ten												6	John Carney
7	Martin Gramatica	@NYG												7	Matt Stover
8	Shayne Graham	Bal												8	Robbie Gould
9	Lawrence Tynes	@Cle												9	Jeff Wilkins
10	Olindo Mare	Jac												10	Nate Kaeding
11	Jason Elam	Sea												11	Olindo Mare
12	Jeff Reed	TB												12	Joe Nedney
13	Stephen Gostkowski	Det												13	John Kasay
14	Josh Scobee	@Mia												14	Stephen Gostkowski
15	Josh Brown	@Den												15	Jason Elam
16	Nate Kaeding	@Buf												16	Dave Rayner
17	Sebastian Janikowski	Hou												17	Rob Bironas
18	Mike Nugent	@GB												18	Mike Nugent
19	Morten Andersen	@Was												19	Neil Rackers
20	Neil Rackers	@StL												20	Jay Feely
21	Rian Lindell	SD												21	Lawrence Tynes
22	Joe Nedney	@NO												22	Jason Hanson
23	Dave Rayner	NYJ												23	Jeff Reed
24	Nick Novak	Atl												24	Morten Andersen
25	Jay Feely	Dal												25	Rian Lindell
26	Kris Brown	@Oak												26	Ryan Longwell
27	Phil Dawson	KC												27	David Akers
28	David Akers	Car												28	Phil Dawson
29	Rob Bironas	Ind												29	Sebastian Janikowski
30	Ryan Longwell	@NE												30	Nick Novak (or Shaun Suisham?)
31	Jason Hanson	@Pit												31	Kris Brown
32	Matt Bryant	@Chi												32	Matt Bryant
	*** Note: These rankings differ from the official Footballguys.com rankings