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IDP Upgrades/Downgrades
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Posted 10/2 by Aaron Rudnicki, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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UPGRADES
- DL Jarvis Green, New England (4 solos, 3 sacks, 1 FF, 1 FR)
Green had 3 sacks against the Bengals (which all came in the 4th quarter),
making him the first Patriot player with 3 sacks in a game since Mike Vrabel
in 2003. On his first sack, he knocked the ball out of Carson Palmer's hands
and recovered the fumble himself at the Bengals 13 yard line. The ensuing
touchdown put the game out of reach, but he still managed two more sacks in
a 3-play span later on. The Patriots have apparently switched to a base 4-3
defense, which will likely move Richard Seymour inside to DT and create more
playing time for Green at DE.
- DL Patrick Kerney, Atlanta (4 solos, 3 sacks, 1 FF)
After suffering a triceps injury in the season opener, Kerney had been ineffective
as a pass rusher. But, he exploded against the Cardinals shaky offensive line
on Sunday with 4 solos, 3 sacks, and a forced fumble. John Abraham is expected
to return to the lineup soon and now that Kerney is healthy again, teams will
have a hard time blocking both of these guys at once.
- DL Vonnie Holliday, Miami (7 solos, 2 sacks)
Jason Taylor had a huge day against the Titans on Sunday, but everybody expects
him to do well. Holliday, meanwhile, also came through with an impressive
performance in the loss. Holliday has 18 solo tackles in 3 games so far, which
ranks him 2nd to only Zach Thomas on the Dolphins. He has an excellent chance
to improve on his numbers from last year, when he finished as the #30 ranked
fantasy DL in FBG scoring.
- DL Kevin Williams, Minnesota (7 solos, 1 asst, 1 sack, 1 PD)
Williams was a fantasy bust last year and has been inconsistent so far this
year, but he was a force on Sunday. He's now had two good games and two poor
games so you may not be able to rely on him every week, but at least he's
showing signs of progress. He leads the team with 2 sacks now, but last year
he didn't record his second sack of the season until December 18th.
- DL Tommie Harris, Chicago (3 solos, 2 sacks)
Even though his statistics last year were not that impressive (29 solos, 3
sacks) and he was just finishing his second year in the league, Harris was
a surprise starter in the Pro Bowl. People around the league apparently realized
how dominant he was at times, and how important he is to this Bears defense.
He's now taken his play to a new level this year, and currently is tied with
Julius Peppers and Trent Cole for the league lead in sacks among DL with 5.
- DL Tamba Hali, Kansas City (2 solos, 1 asst, 1 FF, 1.5 sacks)
Hali got a chance to play in front of his mother for the first time on Sunday,
and he made the most of it. Hali terrorized 49ers RT Kwame Harris and finished
the day with 2 solos, 1.5 sacks, and a forced fumble in a blowout win. Meanwhile,
the Chiefs RDE Jared Allen was charged with his second DUI in 5 months last
week. If he can stay out of further trouble and if Hali continues to progress,
the Chiefs pass rush should be the best it's been since the days of Derrick
Thomas and Neil Smith.
- LB Bart Scott, Baltimore (11 solos, 4 asst, 1 INT, 1 PD)
Scott put up an impressive 5 sacks in the first 3 games, but those came against
some of the league's weaker teams and his 13 solo tackles weren't that impressive
so he seemed like a guy that could drop off once the sacks dried up. His game
against a very strong Chargers team, however, suggests that Scott might be
here to stay and could wind up being one of the biggest IDP surprises this
year.
- LB Michael Boley, Atlanta (7 solos, 1 sack, 1 INT, 1 FF)
After getting shut out in the season opener, Boley has emerged as a force
for the Falcons with 3 solid games in a row (21 solos). He combines great
size, strength, and athleticism which allows the Falcons to use him in coverage
on a slot receiver at times, or as a rush end in pass situations. Strongside
linebackers don't always make great fantasy options, but he looks like he
could be an exception to that rule.
- LB Derrick Johnson, Kansas City (7 solos, 2 asst, 1.5 sacks, 1 FF, 1
PD)
Johnson is loaded with talent and is living up to his potential in just his
second year in the league. He put up a huge statline in a blowout win over
the 49ers on Sunday, and should have more games like this in the future. He's
another one of the exceptions who can put up big fantasy numbers despite playing
a less than ideal position.
- LB Caleb Miller, Cincinnati (7 solos, 6 asst, 1 PD)
I'm listing him here as an upgrade because he put up good numbers in a start
at WLB against the Patriots on Sunday, but he might not hold onto the starting
job past the bye week so don't get too excited. Normal starting SLB Rashad
Jeanty missed the game, which forced the Bengals to move Landon Johnson to
the strong side and that opened up a spot for Miller on the weak side. Miller
is an undersized player with a good motor, but the Patriots were effective
running at him and the Bengals probably won't want to stick with him in the
lineup if they can help it.
- LB Shaun Phillips, San Diego (7 solos, 1 sack, 1 FF)
Phillips moved into the starting lineup when Steve Foley was shot in the preseason.
Phillips is an excellent pass rusher (7 sacks in 2005, 3 in 3 games in 2006),
but his tackle numbers will likely be inconsistent from week to week. After
a big game against the Ravens this week, however, Phillips is currently leading
the Chargers in solo tackles with 13.
- DB Justin Miller, NY Jets (9 solos, 1 PD, 1 TD)
Miller has won a starting CB job with the Jets this year and had a monster
game against the Colts on Sunday. Not only did he finish with 9 solo stops,
but he also ran back a kickoff return for a TD to give the Jets a lead late
in the game. Miller doesn't have great size and has yet to record an interception,
but he plays a physical game and is one of the league's best kick returners.
- DB Will Allen, Miami (8 solos, 1 sack, 1 INT, 3 PD)
Allen put up pretty solid tackle numbers with the Giants the past two seasons
(75 in 2004, 62 in 2005) but he struggled to make plays (1 INT in 32 games).
He had the best of both worlds on Sunday with an 8 solo day and an interception
of David Carr.
- DB Glenn Earl, Houston (6 solos, 1 sack)
Earl came into the league as a promising safety but hadn't quite been able
to settle in with the Texans before this year. He's now relatively safe as
the starting strong safety and figures to put up some good numbers on a poor
team. Through just 4 games, his 21 solo stops already equal his total from
last year and he also added his first career sack on Sunday.
- DB Stuart Schweigert, Oakland (10 solos, 1 asst)
Through 3 games, Schweigert leads the Raiders in solo tackles with 19 and
he's also added 3 more on special teams. With the Raiders struggling, he may
not get many interception opportunities, but he's a smart player and a good
tackler who figures to be on the field a lot this year.
DOWNGRADES
- DL Bryce Fisher (2 solos) & Grant Wistrom (2 solos), Seattle
The Seahawks defensive ends have been pretty useless fantasy options so far
this year. Fisher has 6 solos and 1 sack after 4 games, while Wistrom has
just 5 solos and 1 sack. Wistrom hasn't really been all that productive since
arriving in Seattle so his low numbers probably aren't that surprising. Fisher,
however, had 9 sacks and finished as a top-20 fantasy DL last year so more
was expected of him.
- DL Mike Rucker, Carolina (1 asst)
Not that long ago, Rucker was considered one of the elite fantasy DEs in the
game. From 2001 to 2003, he put up 31 sacks in 46 games while also racking
up big tackle numbers as well. After struggling in 2004, he seemed to rebound
a bit last year with 7.5 sacks, but now it looks like he's back to being relatively
useless again. After 4 games, he has just 6 solo tackles and 0 sacks, despite
playing opposite the best defensive end in the game.
- DL Marcus Stroud, Jacksonville (1 solo)
Although DTs don't usually provide consistent production in leagues that group
them together with DEs, Stroud was one of the exceptions and was a pretty
reliable fantasy option from 2002 to 2004. His tackle numbers have dropped
off considerably, however, and he's failed to record a sack in 15 straight
games.
- DL James Hall, Detroit (2 solos)
Hall finished among the top-31 fantasy DL in each of the past 3 seasons and
has proven to be a very solid all-around DE for the Lions. He doesn't appear
to be a great fit in the Lions new defense though and has just 9 solos and
1 sack through 4 games.
- DL Terrell Suggs, Baltimore (1 solo)
Suggs didn't start the game against the Chargers this week but he did play.
He was limited by a hamstring injury that had been bothering him throughout
the week. He's still an elite fantasy DL when healthy, but hamstring problems
have a tendency to linger so keep an eye on this situation if he's one of
your starters.
- LB Brian Simmons, Cincinnati (4 asst)
Simmons played poorly against the Patriots on Sunday and it showed in his
stat line. The Patriots ran for 236 yards on 41 carries, and Simmons did very
little to slow them down.
- LB Scott Fujita, New Orleans (1 solo, 1 asst, 1 PD)
With 15 solos, 8 assists, a sack and an interception in the first 3 games,
Fujita started to look like the one Saints LB you could rely on as an every
week starter. His numbers this week suggest otherwise, however, as he finished
with just 1 solo tackle while MLB Mark Simoneau had 6 and WLB Scott Shanle
had 4.
- LB Boss Bailey, Detroit (2 solos)
Bailey is the Lions starting MLB but he has just 8 solo tackles after 4 games.
The Lions rotate their linebackers quite a bit, but those numbers are still
very disappointing. The only linebacker worth rostering in Detroit is rookie
Ernie Sims (24 solos, 10 asst).
- LB D'Qwell Jackson, Cleveland (2 solos)
The rookie is starting at ILB next to Andra Davis but he's put up low tackle
numbers for three straight games now. He remains a promising prospect but
needs to play better to avoid losing playing time to veteran Chaun Thompson.
- DB Pacman Jones, Tennessee (2 solos, 1 PD)
Jones came into the league as a very high draft pick and was described as
a playmaker who could also play a physical game. Well, we're almost 20 games
into his career and he has yet to record a single interception. One would
think a young CB like Jones would be picked on frequently by opposing QBs,
but Jones has pretty low tackle numbers as well with just 5 solos over his
last 3 games.
- DB Darren Sharper, Minnesota (3 solos, 2 asst)
Sharper is one of the league's elite playmakers and has an incredible 40 INTs
over his last 6 seasons. This year, however, he has yet to record an INT in
4 games and his 11 solo tackles are tied with DTs Pat and Kevin Williams.
The new defensive system in Minnesota doesn't give him as many interception
opportunities as he had last year so don't be afraid to move him while you
still can.
- DB Ken Lucas, Carolina (2 solos)
Lucas put up 60 solo tackles and 6 interceptions in each of the past two seasons,
establishing himself as one of the best all-around CBs in the league. Through
4 games this year, however, he's been a disappointment for fantasy owners
with just 10 solo stops and 1 INT. His teammate Chris Gamble is still putting
up great numbers though so perhaps teams are avoiding Lucas and trying to
pick on Gamble instead.
- DB Terrence Kiel, San Diego (DNP - inactive)
Kiel won the starting SS job in San Diego this year, but didn't do a whole
lot in the first two weeks with just 5 solo stops. He was arrested last week
on drug charges and the team made him inactive this week. It is not clear
whether he'll miss any more time but keep an eye on this situation and don't
be afraid to release him if there's somebody better out there.
- DB Terrence Holt, Detroit (0 tackles)
Holt got off to a great start this season with 7 solos in the opener against
the Seahawks, but his numbers have declined steadily since then until he finished
with 0 this week against the Rams. The Rams should have been an excellent
matchup for him too with their potent passing attack and his brother playing
on the other side. When Kenoy Kennedy returns, Daniel Bullocks could take
Holt's starting job.
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