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Dynasty Watch
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Posted 2/1 by Sigmund Bloom, Jeff Pasquino, and Will Grant, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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For the 2006 season, the Dynasty Staff highlighted 130 different NFL players for
they dynasty potential. Some of these guys really came through. Some did not.
Others are still a question mark for the future. Here's a recap of the 2006 Dynasty
Watch players who made their conference championship games:
Bryan Fletcher, TE, Indianapolis Colts (Week
6)
Accomplishments - Fletcher had two consecutive years of exactly 18 catches
and 202 yards, so that's your "Glitch in the Matrix" for the Dynasty
Watch this week. Fletcher caught three touchdowns in 2005 and just two in 2006.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - After the first month of 2006,
Fletcher looked to be a trusted target for Peyton Manning, catching two touchdowns
in the first four Colts games. After that, however, he tapered off and averaged
just about a catch per game and never saw the end zone again.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - Starting TE Dallas Clark is signed
with Indianapolis until 2009 for less than $1 Million a year, so Fletcher or
Ben Utecht won't be starting on a regular basis. While the Colts do like to
work the passing game with multiple tight ends, the second TE option is not
going to be very productive in any NFL offense. The best hope for Fletcher is
yet another injury to Clark or to just wait for his contract to end after 2007.
Antoine Bethea, SS, Indianapolis Colts (Week
4)
Accomplishments - Bethea finished as the best IDP defensive back from
the Colts this season. He had 66 solo tackles, 24 assists, and 1 INT in his
rookie season. For the playoffs, Bethea has 13 solo tackles and 1 assist in
three games for the Colts. In the championship game against New England, Antoine
had six solos (tied for test best)
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Bethea was undrafted in most dynasty
leagues, but had a few solid games early in the season and came off an 8 tackle,
4 assist week against Jacksonville when we wrote him up. He missed two games
this season due to a shoulder injury and still finished as the best DB on the
Colts.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - Bethea is coming off of a solid
rookie season and has potential to be even better next year. He saw a lot of
action last season due to the poor run defense that the Colts had, and unless
they make some serious additions on the DL, he should have the same opportunities
next season. The problem is that he's probably been picked up in most leagues
and will take some wheeling and dealing to pry him from another team.
Reche Caldwell, WR, New England Patriots
(Week 9)
Accomplishments - You see, this is why we wait until the teams are done
with their seasons (or in the Super Bowl). Caldwell had one of the worst games
of his career with everyone watching, as he dropped a touchdown and had another
gaffe where he was wide open yet dropped the ball. Despite that last sour note,
Caldwell had a good year.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Caldwell was one of the best "finds"
of the Dynasty Watch, as Jeff Pasquino highlighted Caldwell all over Footballguys
including on The Audible as his Sleeper of the Week against Minnesota on Monday
Night Football. That was rather prescient, as it was Caldwell's coming out party
that night. He finished the game against the Vikings with seven catches on seven
targets, 84 yards and his first touchdown of 2006. Caldwell continued to be
the #1 receiving option for Tom Brady the rest of the way, leading all Patriots
with 61 catches, 760 yards and four touchdown receptions.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - Caldwell is the #1 WR in New England
- today. Look for the Patriots to get Tom Brady some help, and that also should
help Caldwell, as he is most certainly not suited to be the primary wide receiver
in any NFL offense. Caldwell has a $1 Million contract for 2007, which is rather
inexpensive. Look for Caldwell to have another productive season in a New England
uniform next year and then the Patriots and Caldwell will have to decide their
collective futures. Even if they part ways, Caldwell is just 27 and has a few
years left for his career.
Daniel Graham, TE, New England Patriots
(Week 15)
Accomplishments - Backup TE Daniel Graham finished 2006 with 21 catches,
235 yards and two touchdowns in the 2006 regular season, then added a two catch,
38 yard performance against San Diego before finishing with one catch against
the Colts for 25 yards. The 25 yard grab may have been Graham's last as a Patriot,
as his contract has ended with New England.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Ben Watson, the starter in New
England at tight end, was hurting in December and the Patriots were often seen
scrambling for live targets for a pass from Tom Brady. Both Graham and rookie
Dave "Biggie Size" Thomas were likely candidates, and they performed
well down the stretch and in the postseason. Graham had 10 catches and 97 yards
in the final five games of the regular season before adding three more for 63
yards in two playoff appearances.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - Graham enters into the free agent
market as a solid veteran TE, and it will be interesting to see what teams pursue
his services. He's a solid blocker and receiver and could flourish in the right
system. His playoff performance should bolster his value as he performed well
against the Colts and the Chargers. Minnesota and Denver are rumored to be two
teams with an interest in Graham.
Dave Thomas, TE, New England Patriots (Week
16)
Accomplishments - Dave "Biggie Size" Thomas was buried on
the bench behind starting TE Ben Watson and veteran backup Daniel Graham for
most of the year. Thomas managed to collect 11 catches on 16 targets in 2006,
gaining 159 total yards and also finding the end zone in Week 16 against the
Jaguars.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Similar reasons to our mentioning
Daniel Graham, Ben Watson was ailing in December and the Patriots needed live
targets. Thomas proved to be just that, catching eight balls in Weeks 15 and
16 for 107 yards and a touchdown. It was also interesting to see that Thomas
was seeing some playing time in the postseason despite his never getting a pass
thrown in his direction.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - Graham is now slated to be the
backup for Watson, and as often as the Patriots like to employ two TE sets,
Thomas should see a big jump in his numbers. Graham, who is leaving to free
agency, collected 21 balls for 235 yards and 2 TDs, so most of that could go
to Thomas. Thomas is signed until 2009, as is Watson, so look for this duo to
remain solid contributors to the New England passing game for several years.
Jarvis Green, DE, New England Patriots (Week
5)
Accomplishments - Green was an early season DW pick that had a couple
good games but never really panned out into a solid IDP player. He finished
the regular season with 25 tackles, 8 assists, 7.5 sacks, 3 forced fumbles and
1 fumble recovery. In the playoffs Green has just 1 tackle and 1 assist.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - 7.5 sacks for a DL isn't bad,
but the 33 combined tackles will break your heart. Solid DL IDP players are
harder to come by because they lack consistency and Green is a great example.
Despite several games down the stretch where he had a couple tackles and a sack,
Green still finished the season with four zero-point games, and three more games
with only 1 tackle or assist.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - Green's 2007 salary probably makes
him a cap cut in June, and his stats after five seasons don't land him in the
'must have' category quite yet. In leagues where sacks are highly rewarded or
very deep, Green might be a potential bye week filler in the hope he can land
a sack. In most leagues though, he's a free agent unless he lands in the right
situation.
Marques Colston, WR, New Orleans Saints
(Week 2)
Accomplishments - What is left to be said about Marques Colston? We
all know the story by now - 7th round pick from Hofstra, came out of virtually
nowhere (except for Footballguys followers, who knew about him back at the Shrine
Game), and became the Cinderella rookie story of the year. The numbers rival
Anquan Boldin's rookie year in 2003, where Boldin had 1377 yards and 8 TDs -
Colston came in with 1038 yards and 8 TDs as well, despite missing two games.
Oh, and yes, Boldin was a second round choice.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Bloom nailed the coverage on Boldin
from the Shrine Game, where he saw him first hand and talked with other prominent
NFL scouts about his talents. Week 2 was just the first week of Dynasty Watch
for 2006 - but we had Colston pegged early. Marques helped many savvy Footballguys
out there to not just win but to dominate their leagues. That's what we're all
about here at Footballguys - cutting edge and out in front.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - Colston is not going to be a one
hit wonder. He has all the tools - size, speed, hands, leaping ability - that
can put him at the top of the WR charts for several years. He is the #1 option
for a Pro Bowl caliber QB in Drew Brees, and the young wide receivers in New
Orleans will comprise a formidable offense for many seasons to come.
Terrance Copper, WR, New Orleans Saints
(Weeks 7, 11)
Accomplishments - Terrance Copper toiled in relative obscurity for two
years as a Dallas Cowboys receiver, and then took his chances in New Orleans.
He finished 2006 as the fourth best WR for the Saints, catching 23 passes for
385 yards and three touchdowns while also contributing on kickoff returns. Copper
had four games in the second half of the year where he had five or more targets,
racking up nearly all of his stats in the last eight games (20-330-3). He also
added four catches for 32 yards in two playoff games.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Copper caught our eye when Jeff
Pasquino was covering a Saints / Eagles game for Footballguys this season, and
his speed and playmaking potential was apparent. Granted the first coverage
in Week 7 was more of a "if this guy gets a shot" type of comment,
but in midseason that's exactly what kind of player you are looking to stash
on your bench. We revisited Copper in Week 11 after Joe Horn was out the prior
week and Copper had 12 targets, catching six for 92 yards and a TD, and another
positive mark went up for the Dynasty Watch.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - Copper split time with Devery Henderson
in being both an injury replacement for either Joe Horn, Marques Colston, or
both in 2006. Looking forward, it looks like Joe Horn and his age is catching
up to him. With his injuries and salary (over $4.4 Million for 2007), Horn may
have seen his last game in the Black and Gold. With his departure, Copper has
a chance to fight with Henderson for playing time opposite of Colston.
Devery Henderson, WR, New Orleans Saints
(Week 10)
Accomplishments - Devery Henderson entered his second year with the
Saints as the #3 WR for New Orleans after a modest start to his career, catching
22 passes for 343 yards and three touchdowns in his first season. After struggling
to get on the field again in 2006, Henderson took hold of his chances when starters
Joe Horn and Marques Colston were unable to go. Henderson finished 2006 with
32 catches, 745 yards and five touchdowns, including three 100+ yard games and
one with two scores.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Henderson was the third wide receiver
for the Saints this season, and the passing game was clicking extremely well
with Marques Colston, Joe Horn and even Reggie Bush under QB Drew Brees. Once
Horn and then Colston started to get dinged, Henderson really started to assert
himself and produce. He filled the role of a deep threat, ready and willing
to break off a deep pattern at any time, as nearly half (15 of 32) of his regular
season catches were for 20+ yards, including all but one of his touchdowns.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - Joe Horn has had injuries throughout
his career, and with a big contract and cap number (he is slated to make over
$4.4 Million in 2007), the Saints may decide that Horn has played his final
game in The Big Easy. If that is true, the starting spot opposite of Marques
Colston is up for grabs, and Henderson would seem to be the likely choice. With
Drew Brees, Colston and Reggie Bush, the Saints could be a very prolific offense
for 2007 and many years to come.
Nate Lawrie, TE, New Orleans Saints (Week
9)
Accomplishments - Rookie TE Nate Lawrie looked to be a live target for
QB Drew Brees, and then he caught a 17 yard pass in Week 6 against Philadelphia.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Starting TE Ernie Conwell was
out with an injury, and Lawrie seemed to have good chemistry with QB Drew Brees.
Now that Lawrie is off the roster, that chance is dead and buried.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - Next to none, as Lawrie was not
picked up by a team after his November release from the Saints. What can we
say? When you swing for the fences, you are going to miss now and then. Lawrie
was a clear miss.
Scott Shanle, LB, New Orleans Saints (Week
9)
Accomplishments - Shanle finished the season as the leader in tackles
for the Saints. He had 73 solo tackles, 24 assists and 4 sacks for the Saints
during the regular season and had eight solo tackles with one sack in the playoffs.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Shanle came over from the Cowboys
and became an instant starter for the Saints this season. By the forth game
of the season, Shanle was posting solid numbers and he had a six game stretch
where he posted 48 combined tackles. Shanle tapered off near the end of the
season, but still finished with a nice breakout-season.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - There are a lot of question marks
at LB for the Saints in 2007. Shanle is not under contract, Scott Fujita's base
salary takes a huge jump, Mark Simoneau is entering a contract season. There
is a good chance that Shanle will be back with the Saints next season, and after
a full summer as a starting OLB, he should enter the 2007 season ready to post
even better numbers than he had this season.
Brian Griese, QB, Chicago Bears (Week 5)
Accomplishments - Griese had a fantastic preseason compared to starter
Rex Grossman, and looked like he would unseat Grossman by the second week of
the season. Instead, the Bears stuck with Grossman through good times and bad,
including a few questionable performances late in the season. Right or wrong,
Grossman is the starter in Chicago and Griese will be the backup unless Rex
goes down to injury. For the season, Griese posted minimal numbers in mop up
duty: 220 yards passing, 1 TD, 2 INTs.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Grossman entered the post-season
with some huge question marks over his head. 'Good Rex or Bad Rex?' is still
the common question going into the Super Bowl. However, Grossman has done what
it takes to get the Bears to the Super Bowl, and that will keep him under center
until something drastic happens. Griese is still worth holding as Grossman isn't
known for his durability, but don't expect anything from Griese until then.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - If Grossman is your starter, you
need Griese as insurance. If you hold Griese as a spare QB, you probably already
know what you have: a backup QB who won't play unless the starter is injured.
Bernard Berrian, WR, Chicago Bears (Week
3)
Accomplishments - With Mark Bradley starting the season on the bench
because of an injury, Berrian had a golden opportunity to secure a starting
role with the Bears. He did not waste it. By the end of week 3, Berrian was
entrenched as the #2 receiver for the Bears, and finished the season with 51
receptions for 775 yards and 6 TDs. He was a key component to the Bears' Super
Bowl run as well, posting 10 receptions for 190 yards and 2 TDs. in the playoffs.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Berrian missed one game this season
and had another where he did not post a catch. Aside from that Berrian had a
genuine breakout season and cemented his place in the starting lineup for the
2007 season.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - Muhsin Muhammad will be entering
his 12th season next year, and has taken over more of a possession receiver
type of role with the Bears. Berrian is their 'big play' guy, and will be playing
for a huge contract at the end of the season. The key thing to remember with
Berrian is that the Bears will probably finish the 2007 season with passing
numbers that are pretty close to this year (3500 yards, 24 TDs.). That means
unless Berrian suddenly becomes the focal point of the passing attack, he'll
probably only have 850-900 yards receiving for the season.
Mark Bradley, WR, Chicago Bears (Week 11)
Accomplishments - Bradley missed a significant portion of the season
due to injuries, and finished 2006 with just 14 receptions for 282 yards and
three TDs. In the playoffs, Bradley has been the odd man out, catching only
one ball for five yards.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Bradley was healthy for about
two weeks in the middle of the season, and posted solid numbers in back to back
games (4-79 1 TD against the Giants, and 4-80 1 TD against the Jets the next
week). He disappeared again after that and only had five receptions over the
final six games.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - Bradley was the 39th pick overall
in 2005, and the Bears are not ready to give up on the guy just yet. The problem
is that they can't seem to figure out where he fits into their offense. Unless
something drastic happens over the summer, Bradley will begin the season as
the Bears #3 WR. He might get a shot to push Muhammad for the #2 role, but that
remains to be seen. Berrian is their home run threat and Rashied Davis is much
smaller and faster than Bradley and would be used in different situations. Bradley
is a 'wait and see' type of prospect in 2007 with the hope that he finds himself
a full time starting job by 2008.
Daniel Manning, FS, Chicago Bears (Week
4)
Accomplishments - Manning was the first guy that the Bears drafted this
season, and he took over the starting FS position by the third game of the season.
When Mike Brown went down for the season. Manning saw even more action, and
finished the season with 67 combined tackles and two INTs. In the two post season
games that he has played in, Manning has six solo tackles, one assist and one
fumble recovery.
Dynasty Watch Reasons, then and now - Manning was drafted because second
year man Chris Harris was not getting the job done. Manning had already won
the starting job when Brown went down and Manning was used in a lot of different
combinations throughout the season. He'll probably begin the 2007 season battling
Harris for the starting job opposite Brown, but should have the inside track
given his performance to date.
Future prospects (2007 and beyond) - When they are healthy, the Bears
have a brutal defense that gives opposing QBs nightmares. With Tommie Harris
in the lineup their front four are almost unstoppable, giving their DBs plenty
of opportunities to fly around and snag interceptions. Manning can get it done
from an IDP prospective, and should be a solid prospect for 2007 and beyond.
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