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Projection Tweaks Explained

In order to understand more why we are moving people up and down, we offer the following explanation. This is a comprehensive list on all movement +/- 5 fantasy points for players that project to have at least 40 FP this season. These are the changes made since 8/21 (sorted by FP moved).

Sorted by Overall Draft Position

Pos Name Team New FP Old FP Diff Reason
RB Portis, Clinton Was 194.2 134.3 59.9 Overstated Duckett trade and Portis injury before.
RB Buckhalter, Correll Phi 76.5 22.3 54.2 Has emerged as big back behind Westbrook
RB Blaylock, Derrick NYJ 76.0 39.8 36.2 Has surpassed Houston for carries.
WR Henderson, Devery NO 72.8 38.2 34.6 Steps into the #2 role.
RB Harrison, Jerome Cle 54.5 21.9 32.6 Has shown play-making ability in preseason.
QB Pennington, Chad NYJ 201.6 170.6 31.0 Has won the starting job.
RB Toefield, Labrandon Jac 47.6 19.4 28.2 Should get some goal work.
TE Conwell, Ernie NO 45.6 18.5 27.1 Bigger role in offense post-Stallworth.
WR McCareins, Justin NYJ 47.7 20.9 26.8 Back from death.
WR Brown, Troy NE 59.0 33.3 25.7 Veteran will be needed if Branch does not return.
RB Drew, Maurice Jac 56.8 31.1 25.7 Picks up the slack created by loss of Greg Jones.
QB Palmer, Carson Cin 268.1 242.7 25.4 Looked very sharp
RB Lundy, Wali Hou 85.0 61.0 24.0 Now the starting RB. Huge upside if Davis does not return.
RB Brown, Chris Ten 126.9 103.4 23.5 Best runner on Titans right now.
QB Simms, Chris TB 254.0 231.1 22.9 Playing very good. His receivers and coach believe.
QB Culpepper, Daunte Mia 278.9 257.5 21.4 No issues with injury.
QB Grossman, Rex Chi 76.8 55.8 21.1 Still starter somehow.
RB Taylor, Fred Jac 134.3 114.7 19.6 Increased workload without Greg Jones around.
WR Edwards, Braylon Cle 109.6 90.2 19.4 Medical miracle. I'm not betting against him.
WR Jennings, Greg GB 73.9 57.0 16.9 Now the #2 WR.
QB Losman, J.P. Buf 144.5 129.5 15.0 Has locked up the starting job for now.
RB Green, Ahman GB 137.5 123.1 14.4 Looking very good.Could surprise this year.
RB McAllister, Deuce NO 138.9 125.1 13.8 Looking good despite ACL surgery.
WR Glenn, Terry Dal 140.3 126.8 13.5 On a mission this preseason.In mid-season form.
QB McNabb, Donovan Phi 297.7 284.3 13.4 Stallworth gives him legitimate WRs now.
WR Clayton, Michael TB 134.0 120.7 13.3 Rebounding nicely from injury year.
WR Horn, Joe NO 130.8 118.1 12.7 Clear #1 WR now.
WR Price, Peerless Buf 76.9 64.4 12.5 Emerged as #2 WR.
RB Norwood, Jerious Atl 83.1 72.5 10.6 Kid has another gear.Backup now that Duckett is gone.
RB Rhodes, Dominic Ind 150.8 141.5 9.3 Distancing himself from Addai.
RB McGahee, Willis Buf 199.5 190.3 9.2 Has looked solid.Increased TDs.
WR Wayne, Reggie Ind 174.4 165.4 9.0 Playing at avery high level right now.
WR Driver, Donald GB 170.1 161.4 8.7 Offense is going to run through him.
WR Evans, Lee Buf 136.4 128.2 8.2 Legitimate homerun threat in every game.
QB Manning, Peyton Ind 325.3 317.3 8.0 Looks very sharp in preseason.Increased TDs by 2.
RB Harris, Arlen Det 50.4 42.4 8.0 Will get some looks as #2 RB in Detroit.
TE Smith, Alex TB 74.3 66.6 7.7 HC Gruden plans to feature him more.
RB Jordan, Lamont Oak 203.7 196.0 7.7 Finally looked OK in a game.
RB Alstott, Mike TB 66.2 58.6 7.6 Goal line vulture.
RB Dunn, Warrick Atl 184.3 176.8 7.5 Increased role at goal line.
RB Barber, Marion Dal 116.1 108.6 7.5 Third down + hot back possibilities.
TE Watson, Ben NE 98.0 90.8 7.2 Wow. He is on a mission.
WR Jackson, Chad NE 73.8 66.7 7.1 Could get on the field soon if Branch leaves.
RB Barlow, Kevan NYJ 114.1 107.3 6.8 Should be #1 back eventually.
WR Taylor, Travis Min 104.7 98.0 6.7 Piossibly the #1 WR with the Vikings.
RB Gore, Frank SF 168.0 161.7 6.3 Barlow is out and Gore looks ready.
TE Anderson, Courtney Oak 41.4 35.3 6.1 Should do well in this Art Shell offense.
RB Williams, Deangelo Car 88.0 82.0 6.0 Just needs a chance. Very fast.
TE Miller, Heath Pit 84.0 78.0 6.0 Increased redzone targets.
TE Cooley, Chris Was 94.9 88.9 6.0 See bigger role with less than 100% Portis.
WR Reed, Josh Buf 54.0 48.0 6.0 Offense is a bit better than I thought
WR Hagan, Derek Mia 44.2 38.2 6.0 Rookie will see time this year.
WR Moss, Randy Oak 188.8 182.8 6.0 Teasing us with big game in the preseason.
RB Parker, Willie Pit 196.4 190.7 5.7 Rising up the ADP charts with a great preseason.
WR Engram, Bobby Sea 87.3 81.6 5.7 Neck to neck with Burleson now.
RB Bell, Tatum Den 143.6 138.0 5.6 Explosive in his limited carries.
WR Henry, Chris Cin 56.7 51.5 5.2 Solid player if he can stay out of jail.
RB Bell, Mike Den 152.0 146.9 5.1 Not wowing anyone, but no fumbles.
QB Brady, Tom NE 293.8 288.8 5.0 Looks solid even without Branch playing.
WR Burleson, Nate Sea 87.2 92.2 -5.0 Being outplayed by Engram.
WR Branch, Deion NE 115.5 120.9 -5.4 Holdout deepening.Needs to get some reps.
WR Walker, Javon Den 134.4 140.0 -5.6 Looks good, but likely #2 WR.
RB Haynes, Verron Pit 72.6 78.2 -5.6 Team plans to use Parker more.
RB Droughns, Reuben Cle 174.7 180.3 -5.6 Harrison is going to cut into his carries a little.
WR Dwight, Tim NYJ 64.6 70.8 -6.2 One of many in the mix for WR2.
WR Williams, Mike Det 42.0 49.2 -7.2 Falling fast.
RB Benson, Cedric Chi 96.1 103.4 -7.3 Still not able to practice.
RB Morency, Vernand Hou 63.7 72.1 -8.4 Likely the third down back.
WR Jurevicius, Joe Cle 85.8 94.5 -8.7 Braylon Edwards is now the #1.
QB Vick, Michael Atl 267.8 277.1 -9.3 Decreased rushing yards with emergence of Norwood.
QB Brees, Drew NO 236.3 246.3 -10.0 Loss of Stallworth hurts.
WR Cotchery, Jerricho NYJ 52.6 63.3 -10.7 Has not been impressive in the games.
WR Ward, Hines Pit 150.5 162.1 -11.6 Still not practicing with hamstring problem.
RB Betts, Ladell Was 48.5 61.2 -12.7 Odd mad out for carries
WR Baskett, Hank Phi 48.1 61.2 -13.1 Stallworth pushes him to WR3.
WR Ferguson, Robert GB 65.5 78.9 -13.4 Surpassed by Greg Jennings for the #2 role.
QB Roethlisberger, Ben Pit 243.2 256.8 -13.7 Doesn't look very sharp yet.
WR Owens, Terrell Dal 161.5 176.0 -14.5 Lingering hamstring issues.Has not practiced.
RB Anderson, Mike Bal 72.4 87.0 -14.6 Musa Smith looking sharp.
QB Holcomb, Kelly Buf 44.6 59.5 -14.9 Could end up as the third option at QB.
RB Davenport, Najeh GB 65.4 82.5 -17.1 Ahman looks like he is 100% back.
RB White, LenDale Ten 79.0 100.0 -21.0 Not separating himself from Chris Brown.
QB Griese, Brian Chi 106.4 128.9 -22.6 Grossman has 9 lives with Lovie it seems
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